Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.106935 3.644725 4.217877 4.871084 5.591794 6.359695 7.236695
2024-11-03 2.354565 3.095363 3.944614 4.976820 6.184083 7.538578 9.160056
2024-11-10 1.818011 2.666628 3.707740 5.046789 6.691248 8.614208 11.001328
2024-11-17 1.357530 2.231169 3.378512 4.935930 6.935593 9.360521 12.465366
2024-11-24 1.010911 1.869010 3.075244 4.798524 7.102648 9.987773 13.781191
2024-12-01 0.780561 1.619889 2.878235 4.760887 7.368373 10.722935 15.231271
2024-12-08 0.597146 1.399583 2.683923 4.693395 7.569935 11.363241 16.562185
2024-12-15 0.514425 1.328624 2.699217 4.915917 8.165414 12.525842 18.583908
2024-12-22 0.412641 1.197480 2.598365 4.949688 8.487059 13.323181 20.139417
2024-12-29 0.367098 1.165173 2.653195 5.218335 9.148381 14.591177 22.338263
2025-01-05 0.319993 1.117554 2.673393 5.428505 9.726326 15.753873 24.415118
2025-01-12 0.264662 1.035890 2.620903 5.513298 10.115227 16.657731 26.155003
2025-01-19 0.199008 0.909382 2.471959 5.432952 10.259373 17.234647 27.483698
2025-01-26 0.164990 0.854611 2.453459 5.569610 10.739373 18.299569 29.504339
2025-02-02 0.132840 0.792132 2.409753 5.656297 11.140440 19.256536 31.389536
2025-02-09 0.094258 0.687913 2.260998 5.541459 11.212105 19.731117 32.604373
2025-02-16 0.063476 0.588750 2.104195 5.394921 11.219828 20.104579 33.676132
2025-02-23 0.044587 0.522200 2.009944 5.355262 11.396227 20.727404 35.107714
2025-03-02 0.029481 0.456618 1.904498 5.282549 11.509782 21.253024 36.403312
2025-03-09 0.025332 0.451729 1.955758 5.524362 12.164005 22.611913 38.922147
2025-03-16 0.017753 0.412992 1.908534 5.561132 12.464415 23.431749 40.666125
2025-03-23 0.015870 0.417202 1.982519 5.852415 13.214237 24.956425 43.458504
2025-03-30 0.013231 0.411137 2.025632 6.080026 13.857080 26.323858 46.034966